SKU: 31383049056

Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment

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Noise: A Flaw in Human JudgmentFrom the Nobel Prize winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones "a tour de force" (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different

From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones--"a tour de force" (New York Times).
Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients--or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants--or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical.
In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions.
Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment--and what we can do about it.
Review Citations:
  • Publishers Weekly 03/15/2021 (EAN 9780316451406, Hardcover)
  • Kirkus Reviews 04/01/2021 (EAN 9780316451406, Hardcover)

ABOUT THE AUTHORS

Daniel Kahneman is the Eugene Higgins Professor of Psychology, Princeton University, Professor of Public Affairs, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, and the winner of the 2002 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences. Kahneman is a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences and the National Academy of Sciences. He is a fellow of the American Psychological Association, the American Psychological Society, the Society of Experimental Psychologists, and the Econometric Society. He has been the recipient of numerous awards, among them the Distinguished Scientific Contribution Award of the American Psychological Association, the Warren Medal of the Society of Experimental Psychologists, and Hilgard Award for Career Contributions to General Psychology, and the Award for Lifetime Contributions to Psychology from the American Psychological Association. He lives in New York City. He is the author of New York Times bestseller Thinking, Fast and Slow.

Olivier Sibony is a professor, writer and advisor specializing in the quality of strategic thinking and the design of decision processes. Sibony teaches Strategy, Decision Making and Problem Solving at HEC Paris. He is also an Associate Fellow of Saïd Business School in Oxford University. Sibony's research centers on improving the quality of decision making by reducing the impact of behavioral biases. He is the author of numerous articles in academic and popular publications, including Before You Make That Big Decision, co-authored with Nobel Prize winner Daniel Kahneman.

Cass R. Sunstein is currently the Robert Walmsley University Professor at Harvard. From 2009 to 2012, he was Administrator of the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs. From 2013 to 2014, he served on President Obama's Review Group on Intelligence and Communications Technologies. From 2016 to 2017, he served on the Defense Innovation Board of the US Department of Defense. Sunstein is author of many articles and books, including two New York Times bestsellers: The World According to Star Wars and Nudge (with Richard H. Thaler). His other books include Republic.com, Risk and Reason, Why Societies Need Dissent, The Second Bill of Rights, Conspiracy Theories and Other Dangerous Ideas, The Ethics of Influence, and Can It Happen Here? Authoritarianism in America. He lives in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

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SKU: 31383049056

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Great tool
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Fit perfectly. Great tool. Made changing oil fast and easy .
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very good tool fits PL14006 just right
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This fit my PL14006 oil filter.
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The Perfect Tool - Life is Short So Just Buy It.
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So. Life is too short to struggle with little demons and other inconveniences. I change oil in all my cars, trucks, and SUVs. One of my cars is a V6 Hyundai and the filter cartridge is inside a housing that is sometimes more than a tad inconvenient to loosen and screw back in place. My regular filter removal tools including strap style as well as a three arm gripper type just did not perform very well. I saw this thing, ordered it, and man...it is perfect. The metal top allows a wrench ( spanner) or a socket wrench to be used. I have a fancy Snapon torque wrench which I can also use just to be fancy. In any case removing and re-securing the filter housing on the Hyundai V6 is now a breeze. The cap wrench itself is solid and very well constructed Five stars and count me in as impressed. Well done CTA Tools !!!
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Lisa
Charlottesville, US
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Good fit and easy filter removal
Size: 88.5mm x 16
Purchased this for my 2022 Volvo XC60 PHEV. Used up all my 'free' dealer oil changes and not ready to drop hundreds on a simple operation. Removal of the oil filter housing on this car would be nearly impossible without this tool due to its location. With it the process was simple. On a side note, the dealership 'pros' stripped every one of the plastic splash guard nuts. Obviously in a hurry with a power tool. They also did not change out the smaller o ring included with the filter. It's a pain to remove and mine was hardened and likely original. Anyway, placed this tool in drawer with the rest of my oil wrench collection.
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Alexandria, US
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Perfect fit on an AMSOIL Oil Filter EA15K51n
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This is a very well made oil filter wrench and while some are complaining about no exterior weld on the drive nut, if you look inside the weld is very plain to see and appears to be CNC welded so it's perfect and quite strong. I like the finish of the wrench, it's easy to wipe off and if there is oil or debris anywhere on it, you'll be able to spot it immediately and wipe the part off to insure a nice, clean installation.
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